National Economists Club National Economists Club podcasts are recordings from the weekly speeches by economic policymakers and commentators the NEC holds in Washington, DC. National Economists Club podcasts are recordings from the weekly speeches by economic policymakers and commentators the NEC holds in Washington, DC. Bruce Kratofil brucek@bjkresearch.com http://www.national-economists.org/ en-us 2009-2010 brucek@bjkresearch.com (Bruce Kratofil) Sat, 31 Jul 2010 23:14:00 GMT Pete Davis, Davis Capital Investment Ideas. Recorded July 29, 2010. Pete Davis, Davis Capital Investment Ideas. Recorded July 29, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec146.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec146.mp3 Sat, 31 Jul 2010 23:14:00 GMT clean 54:28 tax, fiscal, policy, cuts, rates, Bush, Obama Kevin McCabe, George Mason University. Recorded July 22, 2010. Kevin McCabe, George Mason University. Recorded July 22, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec145.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec145.mp3 Mon, 26 Jul 2010 01:34:00 GMT clean 1:03:39 experimental economics, neuroeconomics Norton Francis, Government of District of Columbia, looks at the effect of the recession on District finances. Recorded July 15, 2010. Norton Francis, Government of District of Columbia, looks at the effect of the recession on District finances. Recorded July 15, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec144.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec144.mp3 Sat, 17 Jul 2010 14:32:00 GMT clean 1:00:43 District of Columbia, economy Phillip Longman, New American Foundation. Mr. Longman will examine proposal that employ public/private partnerships to get long-haul trucks off the road and on to trains. Benefits range from vastly improved fuel efficiency and logistics costs, to safer, less congested highways, and potentially emission-free transportation. Recorded July 8, 2010. Phillip Longman, New American Foundation. Mr. Longman will examine proposal that employ public/private partnerships to get long-haul trucks off the road and on to trains. Benefits range from vastly improved fuel efficiency and logistics costs, to safer, less congested highways, and potentially emission-free transportation. Recorded July 8, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec143.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec143.mp3 Sat, 10 Jul 2010 13:43:00 GMT clean 1:09:27 train, truck, intermodal Richard Aboulafia, Vice President, Analysis, Teal Group Corporation. The Aviation industry may be the last healthy part of the world economy. Recorded July 1, 2010. Richard Aboulafia, Vice President, Analysis, Teal Group Corporation. The Aviation industry may be the last healthy part of the world economy. Recorded July 1, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec142.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec142.mp3 Sat, 03 Jul 2010 17:12:00 GMT clean 48:06 aviation, commercial, military, aircraft, airlines Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors. Recorded June 26, 2010. Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors. Recorded June 26, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec141.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec141.mp3 Sat, 26 Jun 2010 14:43:00 GMT clean 48:06 construction, building, materials, stimulus Jagadeesh Gokhale, The Cato Institute. Recorded June 17, 2010. Jagadeesh Gokhale, The Cato Institute. Recorded June 17, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec140.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec140.mp3 Sat, 26 Jun 2010 14:40:00 GMT clean 55:50 Social Security, reform, deficit, outlays Richard Brown, Chief Economist, FDIC. Because of technical difficultiies (a waiter kicked out the mic cord) there is a gap in this podcast. Recorded June 10, 2010. Richard Brown, Chief Economist, FDIC. Because of technical difficultiies (a waiter kicked out the mic cord) there is a gap in this podcast. Recorded June 10, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec139.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec139.mp3 Tue, 15 Jun 2010 01:17:00 GMT clean 53:54 FDIC, banks Michael Bird, Federal Affairs Counsel at National Conference of State Legislature. Michael Bird looks at the fiscal situation faced by states. Recorded June 3, 2010. Michael Bird, Federal Affairs Counsel at National Conference of State Legislature. Michael Bird looks at the fiscal situation faced by states. Recorded June 3, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec138.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec138.mp3 Fri, 04 Jun 2010 01:10:00 GMT clean 55:59 states, budget, deficit, finance, tax, spend Prakash Loungani, IMF. Mr. Loungani will present evidence on house price movements in major economies around the world-including the US, Canada, the Euro area, and China.  He will discuss estimates of misalignment in housing prices based on analysis of past cycles and econometric estimates of the fundamental drivers of housing prices. Particular attention will be paid to developments within the United States (where the impact is very different across cities, states and regions) and developments in countries like China (where some observers are concerned about house price inflation). Recorded 5/27/2010. Prakash Loungani, IMF. Mr. Loungani will present evidence on house price movements in major economies around the world-including the US, Canada, the Euro area, and China.  He will discuss estimates of misalignment in housing prices based on analysis of past cycles and econometric estimates of the fundamental drivers of housing prices. Particular attention will be paid to developments within the United States (where the impact is very different across cities, states and regions) and developments in countries like China (where some observers are concerned about house price inflation). Recorded 5/27/2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec137.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec137.mp3 Sat, 29 May 2010 14:08:00 GMT clean 55:59 housing, prices Karen Dynan, Vice President and Co-Director, Economic Studies and Robert S. Kerr Senior Fellow Brookings Institution. Recorded May 20, 2010. Karen Dynan, Vice President and Co-Director, Economic Studies and Robert S. Kerr Senior Fellow Brookings Institution. Recorded May 20, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec136.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec136.mp3 Sat, 22 May 2010 01:27:00 GMT clean 50:19 household, finance, leverage, borrowing, risk, default, savings Lynn Reaser, Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University and NABE President.Dr. Reaser will explore key questions pertaining to our new economic reality:  How will the global economy fare during the balance of 2010?  Can China prevent a boom-bust?  Will the dollar strengthen or weaken? Will the U.S. economy falter as stimulus fades or will momentum in the private sector continue to build? When will the Fed tighten and how will stock and bond prices behave? What are the primary risks facing the economy in the short and medium term? The new economic reality—what has changed and what has not? Recorded May 13, 2010. Lynn Reaser, Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University and NABE President.Dr. Reaser will explore key questions pertaining to our new economic reality:  How will the global economy fare during the balance of 2010?  Can China prevent a boom-bust?  Will the dollar strengthen or weaken? Will the U.S. economy falter as stimulus fades or will momentum in the private sector continue to build? When will the Fed tighten and how will stock and bond prices behave? What are the primary risks facing the economy in the short and medium term? The new economic reality—what has changed and what has not? Recorded May 13, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec135.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec135.mp3 Mon, 17 May 2010 03:11:00 GMT clean 58:20 economic, outlook, risks Robert Shiller of Yale Univerisity, co-author of Animal Spirits with George Akerlof talks about the role of animal spirits in the economic recovery. Recorded 5/6/2010. Robert Shiller of Yale Univerisity, co-author of Animal Spirits with George Akerlof talks about the role of animal spirits in the economic recovery. Recorded 5/6/2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec134.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec134.mp3 Sun, 9 May 2010 17:23:00 GMT clean 1:07:10 outlook, animal spirits The problems in the mortgage market are very deep, as 8 million borrowers have not been paying their mortgages and millions more are seriously under water.  If no further action is taken, we can expect more than 12 million borrowers to go through foreclosure and lose their homes. While there is no easy, one-size-all fix for these problems, Ms. Goodman will focus on ways to address both the supply side through a successful mortgage modification program and the demand side, through increased credit availability for the residential mortgage sector.Recorded 4/22/2010 The problems in the mortgage market are very deep, as 8 million borrowers have not been paying their mortgages and millions more are seriously under water.  If no further action is taken, we can expect more than 12 million borrowers to go through foreclosure and lose their homes. While there is no easy, one-size-all fix for these problems, Ms. Goodman will focus on ways to address both the supply side through a successful mortgage modification program and the demand side, through increased credit availability for the residential mortgage sector.Recorded 4/22/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec133.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec133.mp3 Sat, 01 May 2010 01:27:00 GMT clean 59:03 mortgage, housing Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, Quatrarian Capital Management LL. China’s monetary authorities have begun limiting access to credit through administrative measures, an approach to tightening more analogous to taking away the ‘ladle’ than the ‘punchbowl’.  Dr. DeWeaver will discuss the limitations of conventional monetary policy tools in the Chinese context and the objectives of this year’s new credit policies. Recorded 4/8/2010 Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, Quatrarian Capital Management LL. China’s monetary authorities have begun limiting access to credit through administrative measures, an approach to tightening more analogous to taking away the ‘ladle’ than the ‘punchbowl’.  Dr. DeWeaver will discuss the limitations of conventional monetary policy tools in the Chinese context and the objectives of this year’s new credit policies. Recorded 4/8/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec132.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec132.mp3 Fri, 09 Apr 2010 02:21:00 GMT clean 59:16 China, monetary policy, foreign exchange Stuart M. Butler, Vice President, Domestic and Economic Policy Studies; The Heritage Foundation, Discussant; Len Nichols, Director, Director of the CHHS Center for Health Policy Research and Ethics, George Mason University, Discussant; Bob Graboyes, Senior Healthcare Advisor; National Federation of Independent Business, Moderator. Recorded 3/23/2010 Stuart M. Butler, Vice President, Domestic and Economic Policy Studies; The Heritage Foundation, Discussant; Len Nichols, Director, Director of the CHHS Center for Health Policy Research and Ethics, George Mason University, Discussant; Bob Graboyes, Senior Healthcare Advisor; National Federation of Independent Business, Moderator. Recorded 3/23/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec131.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec131.mp3 Sat, 27 Mar 2010 15:20:00 GMT clean 57:18 health, reform, insurance, Medicaire, Medicaid Nayantara Hensel, Chief Economist, Department of the Navy. Note: the final part of the Q and A was not captured. Recoreded 3/11/2010 Nayantara Hensel, Chief Economist, Department of the Navy. Note: the final part of the Q and A was not captured. Recoreded 3/11/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec130.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec130.mp3 Mon, 15 Mar 2010 02:22:00 GMT clean 41:14 defense, industry, globalization, procurement Cliff Waldman, Economist and Council Director, MAPI, looks at the post-crisis economic outlook. Recorded 3/4/2010 Cliff Waldman, Economist and Council Director, MAPI, looks at the post-crisis economic outlook. Recorded 3/4/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec129.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec129.mp3 Sat, 06 Mar 2010 01:55:00 GMT clean 59:17 outlook, economic, forecast, manufacturing Douglas Elmendorf, Director, Congressional Budget Office. Recorded 2/25/2010. Douglas Elmendorf, Director, Congressional Budget Office. Recorded 2/25/2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec128.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec128.mp3 Sun, 28 Feb 2010 18:10:00 GMT clean 1:04:36 budget, outlook, spending, deficit, taxation Richard Gilmore, The GIC Group. Whatever the outcome of the cap and trade debate, US agriculture operates in a global food chain system where carbon/ GHG credits increasingly figure into investments and trade. Dr. Gilmore will discuss the development and applications of an index targeted to agriculture that can measure: 1/ financial gains from the introduction of new abatement technologies; 2/ balance sheet asset credit valuations; and 3/ minimize risk and maximize gains in valuations as a universal hedging instrument. Recorded February 18, 2010. Richard Gilmore, The GIC Group. Whatever the outcome of the cap and trade debate, US agriculture operates in a global food chain system where carbon/ GHG credits increasingly figure into investments and trade. Dr. Gilmore will discuss the development and applications of an index targeted to agriculture that can measure: 1/ financial gains from the introduction of new abatement technologies; 2/ balance sheet asset credit valuations; and 3/ minimize risk and maximize gains in valuations as a universal hedging instrument. Recorded February 18, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec127.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec127.mp3 Sun, 21 Feb 2010 21:08:00 GMT clean 47:39 agriculture, cap and trade Brian Riedl, Senior Policy Analyst, Heritage Foundation, and Joseph Minarik, SVP and Director of Research, Committee for Economic Development look at the U.S. budget, as part of an NEC on Campus event. Recorded February 16, 2010. Brian Riedl, Senior Policy Analyst, Heritage Foundation, and Joseph Minarik, SVP and Director of Research, Committee for Economic Development look at the U.S. budget, as part of an NEC on Campus event. Recorded February 16, 2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec126.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec126.mp3 Fri, 19 Feb 2010 02:58:00 GMT clean 1:15:25 budget, deficit, spending, taxes, government Douglas Duncan, Chief Economist, Fannie Mae. Housing typically contributes about 18 percent to the first year's growth coming out of a recession.  Is it positioned to do that this time?  Recent indicators have been mixed and there are a lot of policy actions in the economy targeted toward housing.  What should we expect in terms of activity in 2010 and further on? Recorded 2/4/10 Douglas Duncan, Chief Economist, Fannie Mae. Housing typically contributes about 18 percent to the first year's growth coming out of a recession.  Is it positioned to do that this time?  Recent indicators have been mixed and there are a lot of policy actions in the economy targeted toward housing.  What should we expect in terms of activity in 2010 and further on? Recorded 2/4/10 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec125.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec125.mp3 Sun, 07 Feb 2010 20:45:00 GMT clean 55:29 housing, mortgage, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, government William J. Dennis, Jr., NFIB Research Foundation. Recorded 1/28/2010 William J. Dennis, Jr., NFIB Research Foundation. Recorded 1/28/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec124.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec124.mp3 Sat, 30 Jan 2010 01:30:00 GMT clean 1:06:44 small business, NFIB, credit, recession Mark Zandi, Moody's Economy.com. Recorded 1/21/2010 Mark Zandi, Moody's Economy.com. Recorded 1/21/2010 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec123.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec123.mp3 Sun, 24 Jan 2010 18:18:00 GMT clean 56:52 recession, recovery, policy, stimulus Rebecca Blank, Under Secretary for Economic Affairs, US Dept of Commerce, discusses basic information ablut the 2010 United States census that will be released in the spring, 2010. Recorded 1/14/2010. Rebecca Blank, Under Secretary for Economic Affairs, US Dept of Commerce, discusses basic information ablut the 2010 United States census that will be released in the spring, 2010. Recorded 1/14/2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec122.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec122.mp3 Sat, 23 Jan 2010 03:04:00 GMT clean 49:11 census Stan Collender, Qorvis Communications LLC. Why use the word “madness” to describe the 2010 budget debate?  Think about expiring tax cuts, TARP, 10 percent unemployment, a trillion dollar deficit, Iraq and Afghanistan, a budget commission, and it being and an election year.  What other word could possibly be as appropriate?Recorded 1/7/2010. Stan Collender, Qorvis Communications LLC. Why use the word “madness” to describe the 2010 budget debate?  Think about expiring tax cuts, TARP, 10 percent unemployment, a trillion dollar deficit, Iraq and Afghanistan, a budget commission, and it being and an election year.  What other word could possibly be as appropriate?Recorded 1/7/2010. http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec121.mp3 http://www.national-economists.org/podcasts/nec121.mp3 Sun, 10 Jan 2010 15:06:00 GMT clean 51:55 Federal budget, spending, taxation, stimulus, TARP, recovery